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17 Oct 2026 ›
Derby v Stoke City
Derby vs Stoke City Prediction
Championship · Saturday 17 October, 14:00
Derby
0 – 1
Stoke City
Our model expects Derby vs Stoke City to be an open game with goals likely. Over 1.5 Goals is rated 76% (2.8 expected goals), Over 2.5 Goals at 51%, both teams to score at 54%. There's a 70% chance of a goal in the first half. These pre-match probabilities come from OTB's data model — for live, in-play goal alerts during the match, use the OTB app.
Goals & market probabilities
First Half Over 0.5 Goals
70%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Both Teams To Score
54%
Second Half Over 0.5 Goals
79%
Second Half Over 1.5 Goals
44%
Model expected goals (total): 2.8
Want the goals as they happen?
This is a pre-match model read. The OTB app sends live in-play goal alerts during the match.
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