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12 Sep 2026 ›
Derby v Birmingham
Derby vs Birmingham Prediction
Championship · Saturday 12 September, 11:30
Derby
1 – 2
Birmingham
Our model expects Derby vs Birmingham to be a cagier, lower-scoring game. Over 1.5 Goals is rated 71% (2.5 expected goals), Over 2.5 Goals at 46%, both teams to score at 46%. There's a 71% chance of a goal in the first half. These pre-match probabilities come from OTB's data model — for live, in-play goal alerts during the match, use the OTB app.
Goals & market probabilities
First Half Over 0.5 Goals
71%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Both Teams To Score
46%
Second Half Over 0.5 Goals
74%
Second Half Over 1.5 Goals
34%
Model expected goals (total): 2.5
Want the goals as they happen?
This is a pre-match model read. The OTB app sends live in-play goal alerts during the match.
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